Abstract:
This archive provides the climate model outputs, observational data, and analysis codes that were used to quantify uncertainty in the climate system response properties of the MIT Earth System Model (MESM). Three papers (Libardoni et al. 2018a, 2018b, 2019) include results using these data and codes to provide conditional probability distributions of equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS), the transient climate response (TCR), and the net radiative forcing by aerosols. The analysis codes are either written in FORTRAN or IDL. The MESM climate model outputs are in a binary format and the FORTRAN code describes how to read these. Basic README files are included.
Supplemental_Information:
Libardoni, A.G, Forest, C.E., Sokolov, A.P, and Monier, E., Baseline evaluation of the impact of updates to the MIT Earth System Model on its model parameter estimates, Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 3313-3325, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-3313-2018, 2018a
Libardoni, A.G, Forest, C.E., Sokolov, A.P, and Monier, E., Estimates of climate system properties incorporating recent climate change, Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 4, 19-36, https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-4-19-2018, 2018b
Libardoni, A.G, Forest, C.E., Sokolov, A.P, and Monier, E., Underestimating Internal Variability Leads to Narrow Estimates of Climate System Properties, Geophys. Res. Let., (in press), 2019. ### + final details and DOI from AGU ###
Sokolov, A., Kicklighter, D., Schlosser, A., Wang, C., Monier, E., Brown-Steiner, B., Prinn, R., Forest, C., Gao, X., Libardoni, A.,Eastham, S. (2018). Description and evaluation of the MIT Earth System Model (MESM). J. Adv. Model Earth Syst., 10 , 1759-1789, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018MS001277, 2018.
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