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Nonlinear Impacts of Surface Exchange Coefficient Uncertainty on Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Air-Sea Interactions


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Citation:
Citation_Information:
Originator:The Pennsylvania State University
Publication_Date:2019
Title:
Nonlinear Impacts of Surface Exchange Coefficient Uncertainty on Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Air-Sea Interactions
Online_Linkage: http://www.datacommons.psu.edu
Description:
Abstract:
Tropical cyclone maximum intensity is believed to result from a balance between the surface friction, which removes energy, and a temperature/moisture (enthalpy) difference between the sea surface and the air above it, which adds energy. The competing processes near the air-sea interface are controlled by both the near surface wind speed and the surface momentum (Cd) and enthalpy flux (Ck) coefficients. Unfortunately, these coefficients are currently highly uncertain at high wind speeds. Tropical cyclone winds also apply a force on the ocean surface, which results in ocean surface cooling through vertical mixing. Using coupled atmosphere-ocean and uncoupled (atmosphere only) ensemble simulations we explore the complex influence of uncertain surface exchange coefficients on storm induced ocean feedbacks and tropical cyclone intensity. We find that the magnitude of ocean cooling increases with storm intensity and Cd. Additionally, the forecasted maximum wind speed uncertainty does not necessarily decrease when ocean feedbacks are considered.   
Supplemental_Information:
Key Points:

1. Tropical cyclone induced ocean feedbacks have a negative impact on the simulated intensity of hurricane Patricia (2015).

2. Both simulated tropical cyclone intensity and the model parametrized surface drag coefficient impact the degree of storm induced ocean cooling.

3. The intensity forecast uncertainty is not automatically reduced in coupled ocean-atmosphere simulations when uncertainty to the surface drag coefficient exists.
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Calendar_Date:2019
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Contact_Organization_Primary:
Contact_Organization:Penn State
Contact_Person:Robert G. Nystrom
Contact_Position:Department of Meteorology
Contact_Address:
Address_Type:mailing address
Address:
601 Walker Building
City:University Park
State_or_Province:Pennsylvania
Postal_Code:16802
Country:USA
Contact_Electronic_Mail_Address:rnystrom@psu.edu
Contact Instructions:
Robert G. Nystrom - Department of Meteorology and Atmospheric Science, and Center for Advanced Data Assimilation and Predictability Techniques, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania, USA

Xingchao Chen - Department of Meteorology and Atmospheric Science, and Center for Advanced Data Assimilation and Predictability Techniques, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania, USA

Fuqing Zhang - Department of Meteorology and Atmospheric Science, and Center for Advanced Data Assimilation and Predictability Techniques, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania, USA

Christopher A. Davis - Mesoscale and Microscale Meteorology Division, The National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA
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Contact_Organization:Penn State Data Commons
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Address_Type:mailing and physical address
Address:
115 Land and Water Building
City:University Park
State_or_Province:Pennsylvania
Postal_Code:16802
Country:United States
Contact_Voice_Telephone:(814) 865 - 8792
Contact_Electronic_Mail_Address:datacommons@psu.edu
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The USER shall indemnify, save harmless, and, if requested, defend those parties involved with the development and distribution of this data, their officers, agents, and employees from and against any suits, claims, or actions for injury, death, or property damage arising out of the use of or any defect in the FILES or any accompanying documentation. Those parties involved with the development and distribution excluded any and all implied warranties, including warranties or merchantability and fitness for a particular purpose and makes no warranty or representation, either express or implied, with respect to the FILES or accompanying documentation, including its quality, performance, merchantability, or fitness for a particular purpose. The FILES and documentation are provided "as is" and the USER assumes the entire risk as to its quality and performance. Those parties involved with the development and distribution of this data will not be liable for any direct, indirect, special, incidental, or consequential damages arising out of the use or inability to use the FILES or any accompanying documentation.
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Contact_Organization:Penn State Data Commons
Contact_Position:Metadata Coordinator
Contact_Address:
Address_Type:mailing address
Address:
115 Land and Water Building
City:University Park
State_or_Province:Pennsylvania
Postal_Code:16802
Country:United States
Contact_Voice_Telephone:814-865-8792
Contact_Electronic_Mail_Address:datacommons@psu.edu
Metadata_Standard_Name:FGDC Content Standards for Digital Geospatial Metadata
Metadata_Standard_Version:FGDC-STD-001-1998
Metadata_Time_Convention:local time
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